Evaluation of the predictive value of coronary artery calcium score for obstructive coronary artery disease in asymptomatic Korean patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Compared with coronary computed tomographic angiography (CCTA), the coronary artery calcium score (CACS) may be limited in predicting adverse cardiovascular events in asymptomatic diabetic patients.

METHODS: We evaluated the predictive value of CACS for obstructive coronary plaques (OCPs) assessed by CCTA in 328 consecutive asymptomatic patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus who had an estimated glomerular filtration rate greater than 60 ml/min/1.73 m².

RESULTS: In total, 29 (9%) patients had OCPs: calcified or mixed OCPs and noncalcified OCPs were found in 26 (8%) and three (1%) patients, respectively. On the basis of a CACS of 0, 1-10, 11-100, and greater than 100, OCPs were found in 2, 5, 15, and 36% of patients, respectively. On receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, the optimal cutoff CACS for predicting OCPs was found to be 33, with 83% sensitivity and 81% specificity (area under the curve, 0.853; 95% confidence interval, 0.777-0.930; P<0.001). Positive and negative predictive values of a CACS of 33 for OCPs were 30 and 98%, respectively. On multivariate logistic regression analysis, age [odds ratio (OR), 1.09], microalbuminuria (OR, 3.43), current smoking (OR, 3.93), and CACS greater than 33 (OR, 15.85) were found to be independently associated with an increased risk for OCPs (P<0.05, respectively). The predictive significance of CACS greater than 33 for OCPs improved after considering the status of microalbuminuria and current smoking.

CONCLUSION: These findings suggest that CACS is an effective gatekeeper for evaluating obstructive coronary artery disease using CCTA in asymptomatic Korean patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus who have near-normal kidney function.