Vessel size and perfusion-derived vascular habitat refines prediction of treatment failure to bevacizumab in recurrent glioblastomas: validation in a prospective cohort

Abstract

Objectives Anti-angiogenic therapy may not benefit all patients with recurrent glioblastomas, and imaging biomarker predicting treatment response to anti-angiogenic therapy is currently limited. We aimed to develop and validate vascular habitats based on perfusion and vessel size to predict time to progression (TTP) in patients with recurrent glioblastomas treated with bevacizumab. Methods Sixty-nine patients with recurrent glioblastomas treated with bevacizumab who underwent pretreatment MRI with dynamic susceptibility contrast imaging and vessel architectural imaging were enrolled. Vascular habitats were constructed using vessel size index (VSI) and relative cerebral blood volume (rCBV). Associations with vascular habitats and TTP were analyzed using Cox proportional hazard regression analysis. In a prospectively enrolled validation cohort consisting of 15 patients (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier; NCT04143425), stratification of TTP was demonstrated by the Kaplan-Meier method (log-rank test) using vascular habitats. Results Three vascular habitats consisting of high, intermediate, and low angiogenic habitats were identified with rCBV and VSI. Both high angiogenic and intermediate angiogenic habitats were significantly associated with a shorter TTP (hazard ratio [HR], 2.78 and 1.82, respectively; largest p = .003) and so was rCBV (HR, 2.15; p = .02). Concordance probability index of vascular habitat combining high and intermediate angiogenic habitats was 0.74. Vascular habitats stratified patients as good or poor responder in a prospective cohort (p = .059). Conclusions Perfusion- and vessel size-derived vascular habitats predicted TTP in recurrent glioblastomas treated with anti-angiogenic therapy and aided patient stratification in a prospective validation cohort.