MRI radiomics may predict early tumor recurrence in patients with sinonasal squamous cell carcinoma

Abstract

Objectives: Sinonasal squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) follows a poor prognosis with high tendency for local recurrence. We aimed to evaluate whether MRI radiomics can predict early local failure in sinonasal SCC.

Methods: Sixty-eight consecutive patients with node-negative sinonasal SCC (January 2005-December 2020) were enrolled, allocated to the training (n = 47) and test sets (n = 21). Early local failure, which occurred within 12 months of completion of initial treatment, was the primary endpoint. For clinical features (age, location, treatment modality, and clinical T stage), binary logistic regression analysis was performed. For 186 extracted radiomic features, different feature selections and classifiers were combined to create two prediction models: (1) a pure radiomics model; and (2) a combined model with clinical features and radiomics. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs) were calculated and compared using DeLong's method.

Results: Early local failure occurred in 38.3% (18/47) and 23.8% (5/21) in the training and test sets, respectively. We identified several radiomic features which were strongly associated with early local failure. In the test set, both the best-performing radiomics model and the combined model (clinical + radiomic features) yielded higher AUCs compared to the clinical model (AUC, 0.838 vs. 0.438, p = 0.020; 0.850 vs. 0.438, p = 0.016, respectively). The performances of the best-performing radiomics model and the combined model did not differ significantly (AUC, 0.838 vs. 0.850, p = 0.904).

Conclusion: MRI radiomics integrated with a machine learning classifier may predict early local failure in patients with sinonasal SCC.