Predictive model ; Regression ; Visualization ; Discrimination ; Calibration
Abstract
Predictive models have recently become increasingly important across various fields. In particular, in clinical research, the main purpose is to build a
model that can find risk factors and predict a specific disease. Predictive models can help clinicians make fast and accurate decisions by capturing rela tionships between multiple factors related dependent variables. Accordingly, this paper describes a predictive model construction method and visualiza tion that can be useful in clinical research. As dependent variables can be divided into continuous, categorical, and survival variables, the concepts and
principles of linear, logistic, and cox regression analyses for building predictive models are explained in this paper. In addition, we investigated how to
select variables to create an optimal model and how to evaluate the discrimination and calibration of the model. A visualization method that can help
interpret according to each regression analysis model is also described. This paper will provide basic knowledge for clinical researchers to more easily
build predictive models and evaluate them for practical use.