Prenatal and childhood exposure to endocrine-disrupting chemicals and early thelarche in 8-year-old girls: A prospective study using Bayesian kernel regression

Abstract

Background: Studies on the combined effects of persistent and non-persistent endocrine-disrupting chemicals (EDCs) on puberty are insufficient. To date, no studies have analyzed breast development at age 8 years, a key criterion for determining precocious puberty. We investigated the relationship between prenatal or childhood exposure to EDC mixtures and early thelarche, defined as breast development before age 8 years in girls. Methods: This prospective study included 211 girls with data on prenatal and 8-year-old exposure of cadmium (Cd), lead, mercury, bisphenol-A (BPA), 3-phenoxybenzoic acid, and three phthalate metabolites from the Environment and Development of Children cohort. Prenatal exposure was assessed through samples from pregnant women at 14-27th weeks of gestation. Tanner staging was assessed by a pediatric endocrinologist. The relationship between single and mixed chemical exposures and outcomes was assessed using logistic regression, generalized additive models (GAM), and Bayesian kernel machine regression (BKMR) models. Results: Early thelarche was observed in 42 (19.9%) girls at age 8 years. In the logistic regression models, the risk of early thelarche increased with increased exposure to Cd in their mothers (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] per interquartile range [IQR] = 1.80, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.23-2.65) but decreased with prenatal BPA exposure (aOR per IQR = 0.57, 95% CI 0.35-0.92). None of the 8-year-old chemical exposures was associated with early thelarche. In the GAM, early thelarche was positively correlated with prenatal Cd and inversely associated with prenatal BPA exposure (p = 0.004 for Cd and p = 0.036 for BPA). In the BKMR models, an increase in log-transformed prenatal Cd concentrations from the 25th to 75th percentile was associated with an increase in the estimated probability of early thelarche at age 8 years (risk difference: 0.46 [95% credible interval: 0.04-0.88]) when other chemicals were set at their median values. Conclusions: Considering the combined effects of persistent and non-persistent chemical mixtures, maternal Cd exposure during the second trimester may be associated with early thelarche in 8-year-old girls.