The binary presence or absence of lymph node metastasis or extrathyroidal extension is not associated with survival in papillary thyroid cancers: Implications for staging systems

Abstract

Background: The characteristics of diagnosed papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) have changed over time with the increasing trend of early diagnosis, and the survival impact of conventional prognostic factors such as lymph node metastasis (LNM) and extrathyroidal extension (ETE) is controversial. We investigated PTC prognostic factors for overall survival (OS) and disease specific survival (DSS), focusing on LNM, ETE, and their implications for PTC staging systems. Methods: We assessed prognostic factors for OS and DSS in a nationwide sample of Korean PTC patients (N = 5192, median follow-up 121 months) using Cox regression. The binary presence or absence of LNM and ETE, as well as other measures of LNM and ETE, were examined for their survival impact. We also evaluated the relative performance of PTC staging systems before and after revising the staging criteria for LNM and ETE. Results: The binary presence of LNM or ETE was not a prognostic factor for OS or DSS, nor were other various measures of LNM. However, the extent of ETE as none, microscopic, or gross independently influenced survival (OS hazard ratio for gross vs. none: 3.28, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.97-5.46; DSS hazard ratio for gross vs. none: 3.75, 95% CI 1.59-8.81). The performance of PTC staging systems improved when the extent of ETE and/or location of LNM were used as staging components. Conclusion: The extent of ETE and/or location of LNM may be better survival indicators than their binary presence or absence, and we propose staging criteria revisions to pertinent staging systems to better reflect the contemporary PTC population.