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Projected mortality from lung cancer in South Korea, 1980-2004

Authors
 Sun Ha Jee  ;  II Soon Kim  ;  II Suh  ;  Dongchun Shin  ;  Lawrence J Appel 
Citation
 INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF EPIDEMIOLOGY, Vol.27(3) : 365-369, 1998 
Journal Title
 INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF EPIDEMIOLOGY 
ISSN
 0300-5771 
Issue Date
1998
Abstract
BACKGROUND: In recent years, mortality from lung cancer has increased rapidly in Korea, a South East Asian country with a high prevalence of smoking. The objectives of this study are to examine how age, period, and birth cohort effects contributed to trends in lung cancer mortality in Korea 1980-1994, and to predict lung cancer mortality rates for 1995-2004. METHODS: Age- and sex-specific lung cancer mortality rates were obtained from annual reports of the National Office of Statistics in Korea. Poisson regression models were used to estimate age, period and cohort effects. RESULTS: Among men, age-adjusted annual mortality rates from lung cancer (per 100000) increased from 3.7 in 1980 to 17.8 in 1994; corresponding rates for women were 1.4 and 7.0. As age increased, mortality rates from lung cancer increased more rapidly in men than in women. Within the same age group, the mortality of younger cohorts was higher than older cohorts. The average annual number of lung cancer deaths projected for the years 2000-2004 among men and women will be 15441 and 3572 respectively, while the average annual age-adjusted mortality rates from lung cancer (per 100000) will be 65.4 for men and 15.1 for women. These rates correspond to 17.7- and 10.7-fold increases over the 1980 mortality rates in men and women, respectively. CONCLUSION: These results, in conjunction with trends in tobacco consumption, indicate that mortality from lung cancer in both men and women will increase substantially through the early part of the 21st century in Korea.
Files in This Item:
T199803053.pdf Download
DOI
10.1093/ije/27.3.365
Appears in Collections:
1. College of Medicine (의과대학) > Dept. of Preventive Medicine and Public Health (예방의학교실) > 1. Journal Papers
4. Graduate School of Public Health (보건대학원) > Graduate School of Public Health (보건대학원) > 1. Journal Papers
Yonsei Authors
Suh, Il(서일) ORCID logo https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9689-7849
Shin, Dong Chun(신동천) ORCID logo https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4252-2280
Jee, Sun Ha(지선하) ORCID logo https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9519-3068
URI
https://ir.ymlib.yonsei.ac.kr/handle/22282913/177042
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