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Prediction of cancer incidence and mortality in Korea, 2011

Authors
 Kyu-Won Jung  ;  Sohee Park  ;  Young-Joo Won  ;  Hyun-Joo Kong  ;  Joo Young Lee  ;  Eun-Cheol Park  ;  Jin-Soo Lee 
Citation
 CANCER RESEARCH AND TREATMENT, Vol.43(1) : 12-18, 2011 
Journal Title
 CANCER RESEARCH AND TREATMENT 
ISSN
 1598-2998 
Issue Date
2011
Keywords
2011 ; Incidence ; Korea ; Mortality ; Neoplasms ; Prediction
Abstract
PURPOSE: To estimate the current cancer burden in Korea, cancer incidence and mortality were projected for the year 2011. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The cancer incidence data from 1999-2008 were obtained from the Korea National Cancer Incidence Database, and the cancer mortality data from 1993-2009 were obtained from the Korea National Statistics Office. Cancer incident cases and rates in 2011 were projected from fitting a linear regression model on observed age-specific cancer incidence rates against observed years, then multiplying the projected age-specific rates by the age-specific population. For cancer mortality, a similar procedure was applied for projection except that a Joinpoint regression model was used to determine at which year the linear trend significantly changed. RESULTS: A total of 216,809 new cancer cases and 71,036 cancer deaths are projected to occur in Korea in 2011. For all sites combined, the crude incidence rates are projected to be 437.9 and 420.5 and the age-standardized incidence rates are projected to be 336.5 and 279.7 per 100,000 for men and women, respectively. CONCLUSION: Cancer has become an important public health concern in Korea, and as Korea becomes an aged society, the cancer burden will continue to increase.
Files in This Item:
T201194337.pdf Download
DOI
10.4143/crt.2011.43.1.12
Appears in Collections:
1. College of Medicine (의과대학) > Dept. of Preventive Medicine and Public Health (예방의학교실) > 1. Journal Papers
Yonsei Authors
Park, Eun-Cheol(박은철) ORCID logo https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2306-5398
URI
https://ir.ymlib.yonsei.ac.kr/handle/22282913/95464
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