The predictive value of PD-L1 expression in response to anti-PD-1/PD-L1 therapy for biliary tract cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Abstract

Background: Recently, anti-programmed cell death protein 1 (PD-1)/programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) immunotherapy offers promising results for advanced biliary tract cancer (BTC). However, patients show highly heterogeneous responses to treatment, and predictive biomarkers are lacking. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to assess the potential of PD-L1 expression as a biomarker for treatment response and survival in patients with BTC undergoing anti-PD-1/PD-L1 therapy.

Methods: We conducted a comprehensive systematic literature search through June 2023, utilizing the PubMed, EMBASE, and Cochrane Library databases. The outcomes of interest included objective response rate (ORR), disease control rate (DCR), progression-free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS) according to PD-L1 expression. Subgroup analyses and meta-regression were performed to identify possible sources of heterogeneity.

Results: A total of 30 studies was included in the final analysis. Pooled analysis showed no significant differences in ORR (odds ratio [OR], 1.56; 95% confidence intervals [CIs], 0.94-2.56) and DCR (OR, 1.84; 95% CIs, 0.88-3.82) between PD-L1 (+) and PD-L1 (-) patients. In contrast, survival analysis showed improved PFS (hazard ratio [HR], 0.54, 95% CIs, 0.41-0.71) and OS (HR, 0.58; 95% CI, 0.47-0.72) among PD-L1 (+) patients compared to PD-L1 (-) patients. Sensitivity analysis excluding retrospective studies showed no significant differences with the primary results. Furthermore, meta-regression demonstrated that drug target (PD-1 vs. PD-L1), presence of additional intervention (monotherapy vs. combination therapy), and PD-L1 cut-off level (1% vs. ≥5%) significantly affected the predictive value of PD-L1 expression.

Conclusion: PD-L1 expression might be a helpful biomarker for predicting PFS and OS in patients with BTC undergoing anti-PD-1/PD-L1 therapy. The predictive value of PD-L1 expression can be significantly influenced by diagnostic or treatment variables.

Systematic review registration: https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO, identifier CRD42023434114.