Predictive performance of urinalysis for urine culture results according to causative microorganisms: an integrated analysis with artificial intelligence

Abstract

Urinary tract infections (UTIs) are pervasive and prevalent in both community and hospital settings. Recent trends in the changes of the causative microorganisms in these infections could affect the effectiveness of urinalysis (UA). We aimed to evaluate the predictive performance of UA for urinary culture test results according to the causative microorganisms. In addition, UA results were integrated with artificial intelligence (AI) methods to improve the predictive power. A total of 360,376 suspected UTI patients were enrolled from two university hospitals and one commercial laboratory. To ensure broad model applicability, only a limited range of clinical data available from commercial laboratories was used in the analyses. Overall, 53,408 (14.8%) patients were identified as having a positive urine culture. Among the UA tests, the combination of leukocyte esterase and nitrite tests showed the highest area under the curve (AUROC, 0.766; 95% CI, 0.764-0.768) for predicting urine culture positivity but performed poorly for Gram-positive bacteriuria (0.642; 0.637-0.647). The application of an AI model improved the predictive power of the model for urine culture results to an AUROC of 0.872 (0.870-0.875), and the model showed superior performance metrics not only for Gram-negative bacteriuria (0.901; 0.899-0.902) but also for Gram-positive bacteriuria (0.745; 0.740-0.749) and funguria (0.872; 0.865-0.879). As the prevalence of non-Escherichia coli-caused UTIs increases, the performance of UA in predicting UTIs could be compromised. The addition of AI technologies has shown potential for improving the predictive performance of UA for urine culture results.IMPORTANCEUA had good performance in predicting urine culture results caused by Gram-negative bacteria, especially for Escherichia coli and Pseudomonas aeruginosa bacteriuria, but had limitations in predicting urine culture results caused by Gram-positive bacteria, including Streptococcus agalactiae and Enterococcus faecalis. We developed and externally validated an AI model incorporating minimal demographic information of patients (age and sex) and laboratory data for UA, complete blood count, and serum creatinine concentrations. The AI model exhibited improved performance in predicting urine culture results across all the causative microorganisms, including Gram-positive bacteria, Gram-negative bacteria, and fungi.