Predicting the severity of postoperative scars using artificial intelligence based on images and clinical data

Abstract

Evaluation of scar severity is crucial for determining proper treatment modalities; however, there is no gold standard for assessing scars. This study aimed to develop and evaluate an artificial intelligence model using images and clinical data to predict the severity of postoperative scars. Deep neural network models were trained and validated using images and clinical data from 1283 patients (main dataset: 1043; external dataset: 240) with post-thyroidectomy scars. Additionally, the performance of the model was tested against 16 dermatologists. In the internal test set, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC-AUC) of the image-based model was 0.931 (95% confidence interval 0.910‒0.949), which increased to 0.938 (0.916‒0.955) when combined with clinical data. In the external test set, the ROC-AUC of the image-based and combined prediction models were 0.896 (0.874‒0.916) and 0.912 (0.892‒0.932), respectively. In addition, the performance of the tested algorithm with images from the internal test set was comparable with that of 16 dermatologists. This study revealed that a deep neural network model derived from image and clinical data could predict the severity of postoperative scars. The proposed model may be utilized in clinical practice for scar management, especially for determining severity and treatment initiation.

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