응급진료센터에 내원한 기계적 장폐색 환자에서 델타 뉴트로필 지표를 이용한 30일 사망률 예측의 유용성

Abstract

Purpose: Mechanical bowel obstruction (MBO) is a common emergency problem resulting in high morbidity and mortality. The delta neutrophil index (DNI), reflecting the fraction of circulating immature granulocytes, is associated with increased mortality in patients with infection and/or systemic inflammation. This study was conducted to investigate the relationship between DNI and 30-day mortality in patients with MBO. Method: We retrospectively identified consecutive patients (>18 years old) with MBO admitted to the emergency department from January 1, 2013 to April 30, 2015. The diagnosis of MBO was confirmed using clinical and radiological findings. The DNI was determined on each day of hospitalization. The outcome of interest was the 30-day mortality and the prognostic value of DNI for 30-day mortality was ascertained by Cox proportional hazards model analysis. Results: A total of 518 patients with MBO were included in this study. According to multivariate Cox proportional hazard models, higher DNI at admission (hazard ratio [HR], 1.080; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.036-1.126; p<0.001) was a strong independent predictor of short-term mortality. Among patients with MBO, a DNI >1.9% on admission (HR, 9.410; 95% CI, 2.671-33.145; p<0.001) was associated with increased 30-day mortality. Furthermore, the accuracy of DNI for predicting 30-day mortality was superior to that of other parameters. Conclusion: The DNI can be measured rapidly and simply on emergency department admission without additional cost or time burden. Increased DNI values are associated with 30-day mortality in patients with MBO.